Pupil Projections

by Coy Holcombe.  

A few weeks ago, we talked about pupil projections. Every 3-4 years the state publishes their projections for enrollment in each district. These projections may be modified by the district based on current enrollment trends. Yesterday, I submitted EISD’s pupil projections through the 2010-2011 school year. The numbers submitted are below:

  07-08 Final 08-09 Estimate 09-10 Projected 10-11 Projected
Total Refined ADA 1455.393 1440 1450 1460
Bilingual ADA 15.262 11.00 12.5 14.00
Mainstream ADA 56.075 53.517 54.5 55.5
GT Enrollment 72.769 73.023 73.023 73.023
Compensatory 1070.7 1040.2 1045 1050
CATE 59.21 80.00 80.00 80.00
Special Ed FTEs        
Homebound .026 0 0 0
Hospital Class 0 0 0 0
Speech Therapy 4.067 3.161 3.161 3.161
Resource Room 46.201 41.265 41.2 41.00
Self-Contained 5.462 3.254 3.254 3.254
Off-Campus 5.487 3.859 3.859 3.859
VAC 3.785 2.147 2.5 2.75
State School 0 0 0 0
Non-Public 0 0 0 0
Residential Care .8 .833 .833 .833

The above numbers will be used by the state to help plan their budget and to provide a basis for funding our district. It is important to remember that we still must earn all state aid. The numbers above are only estimates and our final state aid will be based on actual attendance.

A few notes:

The column labeled 08-09 estimate is based on actual enrollment and attendance through the second six weeks.

Most of the 09-10 and 10-11 columns are based on a very modest growth. We currently do not have as many students enrolled as in the past. However, that trend is likely to change.

The state estimates for the 09-10 and 10-11 (which were not included because of space issues) were substantially larger than our actual enrollment.

The 07-08 Final column contains the actual enrollment and attendance information from the 2007-2008 school year.

If you have any questions regarding any of these numbers, please do not hesitate to contact me at cholcombe@eustaceisd.net.

 

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